Single poll
INSA poll of 4 October 2022 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2022 to 4 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 31.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2022 to 4 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Sep 2022, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 9.4
- SPD -1.2average 32.2
- Grüne -1.1average 17.1
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- CDU ±0average 28.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD46
- CDU42
- Grüne24
- AfD16
- FDP7
- SPD + CDU88 of 135
- SPD + Grüne70 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + AfD82 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + FDP73 of 135
- SPD + AfD + FDP69 of 135
More
More polls
← INSA, 4 Sep 2022INSA, 19 Oct 2023 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.