Single poll
INSA poll of 19 October 2023 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 27.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Oct 2022, AfD gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 5.0 points lower and AfD 3.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -5.0average 32.0
- AfD +3.0average 14.0
- FDP -1.0average 5.0
- CDU ±0average 29.0
- Grüne ±0average 13.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU46
- SPD42
- AfD27
- Grüne20
- CDU + SPD88 of 135
- CDU + AfD73 of 135
- SPD + AfD69 of 135
More
More polls
← INSA, 4 Oct 2022INSA, 12 Nov 2024 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.