Single poll
INSA poll of 12 November 2024 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Nov 2024, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Oct 2023, Grüne loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.0 points lower and BSW 2.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.0average 12.0
- BSW +2.0average 4.0
- CDU -1.0average 32.0
- SPD +1.0average 25.0
- AfD +1.0average 15.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU47
- SPD40
- AfD24
- Grüne15
- BSW9
- CDU + SPD87 of 135
- CDU + AfD71 of 135
- SPD + AfD + Grüne79 of 135
- SPD + AfD + BSW73 of 135
- CDU + Grüne + BSW71 of 135
More
More polls
← INSA, 19 Oct 2023INSA, 19 Feb 2025 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.