Single poll
INSA poll of 19 February 2025 for the Lower Saxony state election
- State
- Lower Saxony
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Nov 2024, Linke gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.5average 32.5
- SPD -1.0average 26.0
- Grüne -1.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- AfD +0.5average 15.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU42
- SPD35
- AfD23
- Grüne14
- FDP7
- Linke7
- BSW7
- CDU + SPD77 of 135
- CDU + AfD + Grüne79 of 135
- CDU + AfD + FDP72 of 135
- CDU + AfD + Linke72 of 135
- CDU + AfD + BSW72 of 135
- SPD + AfD + Grüne72 of 135
More
More polls
← INSA, 12 Nov 2024INSA, 22 Apr 2026 →Average of all pollsters: Lower SaxonySunday question Lower Saxony2025 federal election in Lower SaxonyChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.