INSA poll of 22 April 2026 for the Lower Saxony state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU25.0%-5.0
- AfD20.0%+4.0
- Grüne12.0%+2.0
- Linke7.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- BSW3.0%-2.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 25.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Feb 2025, CDU loses 5.0 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.5average 26.5
- SPD -1.0average 26.0
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.0average 3.0
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- Linke +0.5average 6.5
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
135 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD38
- CDU38
- AfD30
- Grüne18
- Linke11
- SPD + CDU76 of 135
- SPD + AfD68 of 135
- CDU + AfD68 of 135
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.