Official final result · 26 September 2021

Berlin state election 2021: the result

In the Berlin state election on 26 September 2021, SPD became the largest party with 21.4%, 2.5 points ahead of Grüne (18.9%).

Failed to clear the threshold
Freie Wähler (0.8%), Piraten (0.4%)
Polls one week before
off by 1.2 points per party on average, AfD overestimated by 2.1
Turnout
75.4%
Status
official final result
Votes

Result of the 2021 state election

Turnout in the Berlin state election on 26 September 2021 was 75.4%. The Berlin House of Representatives has 147 seats; a majority needs 74.

Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.

Berlin state election 2021: result by party and change
PartyVotes 2021 (%)Seats
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands21.4%36
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen18.9%32
Christlich Demokratische Union18.0%30
Die Linke14.1%24
Alternative für Deutschland8.0%13
Freie Demokratische Partei7.1%12
Freie Wähler0.8%–
Piratenpartei0.4%–
Others11.3%–

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Official seats, 147 in total including overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV

Official

Seat distribution in the Berlin House of Representatives after the 2021 result

147 seats by the official result, including overhang and compensatory seats. Electoral threshold of 5%.

SPD: 36 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsCDU: 30 seatsLinke: 24 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 74147of 147 seats
  • SPD36
  • Grüne32
  • CDU30
  • Linke24
  • AfD13
  • FDP12
Majorities

Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election

All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.

Coalition calculator: tap the parties
Tap parties to test an alliance
SPD: 36 seatsGrüne: 32 seatsCDU: 30 seatsLinke: 24 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 12 seats0/147
Majority from 74 seats
Majorities
Official seats based on the official result, 147 seats, majority from 74.
  • SPD + Grüne + CDU98 of 147
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke92 of 147
  • SPD + CDU + Linke90 of 147
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke86 of 147
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD81 of 147
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP80 of 147
  • SPD + CDU + AfD79 of 147
  • SPD + CDU + FDP78 of 147
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 147
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP74 of 147
Before the election

The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election

8 polls between 10 Sep 2021 and 24 Sep 2021, each one available individually.

Polls before the 2021 Berlin state election
PollsterPublishedSPDGrüneCDULinkeAfDFDPFreie WählerPiraten
Civey24 Sep 20212418161289––
INSA24 Sep 2021231715141183–
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 Sep 2021251515.514.5107.5––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen23 Sep 20212219171397––
Infratest dimap17 Sep 202124181613107––
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen17 Sep 20212120171298––
Institut Wahlkreisprognose14 Sep 20212514.514.514.510.58.5––
Civey10 Sep 20212515161697––
Min – Max21–2514.5–2014.5–1712–168–117–9––

For each party the lowest value in the table is marked orange and the highest green; the last row shows the range.

Last poll before the election: Civey, 24 Sep 2021

Our analysis

Who came closest before the 2021 election?

Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.

Deviation of the last polls before the election of 26 Sep 2021 from the result, in percentage points
PollsterPoll datedSPDGrüneCDULinkeAfDFDPFreie WählerØ abs.
Result 26 Sep 202121.4%18.9%18.0%14.1%8.0%7.1%0.8%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen23 Sep 2021 (3 days before)+0.6+0.1-1.0-1.1+1.0-0.1–0.7
Infratest dimap17 Sep 2021 (9 days before)+2.6-0.9-2.0-1.1+2.0-0.1–1.5
Civey24 Sep 2021 (2 days before)+2.6-0.9-2.0-2.1±0+1.9–1.6
INSA24 Sep 2021 (2 days before)+1.6-1.9-3.0-0.1+3.0+0.9+2.21.8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose24 Sep 2021 (2 days before)+3.6-3.9-2.5+0.4+2.0+0.4–2.1

Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.

Accuracy of all pollsters since 2017

More

More elections and polls

Table as CSV

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