Berlin state election 2021: the result
In the Berlin state election on 26 September 2021, SPD became the largest party with 21.4%, 2.5 points ahead of Grüne (18.9%).
- Failed to clear the thresholdFreie Wähler (0.8%), Piraten (0.4%)
- Polls one week beforeoff by 1.2 points per party on average, AfD overestimated by 2.1
- Statusofficial final result
Result of the 2021 state election
Shares in percent. Parties below one percent are grouped as Others.
- SPD21.4%
- Grüne18.9%
- CDU18.0%
- Linke14.1%
- AfD8.0%
- FDP7.1%
- Freie Wähler0.8%
- Piraten0.4%
- Others11.3%
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.
| Party | 2021 | Seats (projected) |
|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | 21.4% | 32 |
| Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 18.9% | 28 |
| Christlich Demokratische Union | 18.0% | 27 |
| Die Linke | 14.1% | 21 |
| Alternative für Deutschland | 8.0% | 12 |
| Freie Demokratische Partei | 7.1% | 10 |
| Freie Wähler | 0.8% | – |
| Piratenpartei | 0.4% | – |
| Others | 11.3% | – |
Source: state returning officer, compiled via wahlrecht.de. Seats projected by Hare/Niemeyer on 130 regular seats, without overhang and compensatory seats. JSON · CSV
Seat distribution in the Berlin House of Representatives after the 2021 result
130 regular seats by Hare/Niemeyer. Electoral threshold of 5%. The actual size of the parliament may differ due to overhang and compensatory seats.
- SPD32
- Grüne28
- CDU27
- Linke21
- AfD12
- FDP10
Which alliances had a majority after the 2021 election
All two- and three-party alliances with a projected majority.
- SPD + Grüne + CDU87 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke81 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke80 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD67 of 130
The polls in the last 30 days before the 2021 state election
8 polls between 10 Sep 2021 and 24 Sep 2021, each one available individually.
| Pollster | Published | SPD | Grüne | CDU | Linke | AfD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Piraten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 24 Sep 2021 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 9 | – | – |
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 | 23 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 3 | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 | 25 | 15 | 15.5 | 14.5 | 10 | 7.5 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 7 | – | – |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | – | – |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17 Sep 2021 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 8 | – | – |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 14 Sep 2021 | 25 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | – |
| Civey | 10 Sep 2021 | 25 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 7 | – | – |
Who came closest before the 2021 election?
Deviation of each pollster's last poll from the result, by party in points. Ranked by mean absolute deviation.
| Pollster | Poll dated | SPD | Grüne | CDU | Linke | AfD | FDP | Freie Wähler | Ø abs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Result 26 Sep 2021 | 21.4% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 0.8% | ||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 Sep 2021 (3 days before) | +0.6 | +0.1 | -1.0 | -1.1 | +1.0 | -0.1 | – | 0.7 |
| Infratest dimap | 17 Sep 2021 (9 days before) | +2.6 | -0.9 | -2.0 | -1.1 | +2.0 | -0.1 | – | 1.5 |
| Civey | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +2.6 | -0.9 | -2.0 | -2.1 | ±0 | +1.9 | – | 1.6 |
| INSA | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +1.6 | -1.9 | -3.0 | -0.1 | +3.0 | +0.9 | +2.2 | 1.8 |
| Institut Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Sep 2021 (2 days before) | +3.6 | -3.9 | -2.5 | +0.4 | +2.0 | +0.4 | – | 2.1 |
Positive: the poll was above the result. Each pollster's last poll within 30 days before the election.