Single poll

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 17 September 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
ZDF-Politbarometer
Fieldwork period
13 to 16 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,000
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD21.0%
  • Grüne20.0%
  • CDU17.0%
  • Linke12.0%
  • AfD9.0%
  • FDP8.0%
  • Others13.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Grüne 2.7 points higher and Linke 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.7average 17.3
  • Linke -2.5average 14.5
  • SPD -2.4average 23.4
  • AfD -1.3average 10.3
  • CDU +1.1average 15.9
  • FDP +0.3average 7.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 31 seatsGrüne: 30 seatsCDU: 25 seatsLinke: 18 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 12 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • SPD31
  • Grüne30
  • CDU25
  • Linke18
  • AfD14
  • FDP12
  • SPD + Grüne + CDU86 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + Linke74 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP73 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke73 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + AfD70 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD69 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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