Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 17 September 2021 for the Berlin state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
13 to 15 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,510
Method
Telefon & Online
  • SPD24.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%+1.0
  • CDU16.0%-3.0
  • Linke13.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Tierschutzpartei3.0%
  • Others9.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Aug 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has SPD ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,510 people were surveyed from 13 to 15 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Aug 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.3average 14.3
  • SPD +1.2average 22.8
  • FDP -0.9average 7.9
  • Grüne +0.3average 17.7
  • CDU -0.1average 16.1
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.

SPD: 35 seatsGrüne: 27 seatsCDU: 24 seatsLinke: 19 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 10 seatsMajority from 66130of 130 seats
  • SPD35
  • Grüne27
  • CDU24
  • Linke19
  • AfD15
  • FDP10
  • SPD + Grüne + CDU86 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke81 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + Linke78 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD77 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + AfD74 of 130
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP72 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + Linke70 of 130
  • SPD + CDU + FDP69 of 130
  • SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 130
  • Grüne + CDU + AfD66 of 130
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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