INSA poll of 24 September 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Cicero
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 24 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD23.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- CDU15.0%-1.0
- Linke14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%±0
- Tierschutzpartei3.0%
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 23.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 22 to 24 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Cicero.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Aug 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 9.6
- CDU -1.3average 16.3
- FDP +0.9average 7.1
- Grüne -0.6average 17.6
- SPD -0.4average 23.4
- Linke -0.1average 14.1
- Tierschutzpartei ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD34
- Grüne25
- CDU22
- Linke21
- AfD16
- FDP12
- SPD + Grüne + CDU81 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke80 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke68 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.