INSA poll of 14 December 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 13 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD22.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+3.0
- CDU19.0%+4.0
- Linke15.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 6 to 13 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Sep 2021, CDU gains 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 2.7 points higher and Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +2.7average 16.3
- Grüne +2.4average 17.6
- SPD -1.4average 23.4
- Linke +0.9average 14.1
- AfD -0.6average 9.6
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD31
- Grüne28
- CDU27
- Linke21
- AfD13
- FDP10
- SPD + Grüne + CDU86 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke80 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke79 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP69 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP68 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.