INSA poll of 19 June 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 15 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- CDU21.0%+2.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- Linke12.0%-3.0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Dec 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 10 to 15 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Dec 2021, Linke loses 3.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.3 points lower and SPD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.3average 25.3
- SPD +2.5average 18.5
- FDP +1.2average 6.8
- Linke +0.7average 11.3
- AfD +0.7average 7.3
- CDU +0.5average 20.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD30
- CDU30
- Grüne29
- Linke17
- FDP12
- AfD12
- SPD + CDU + Grüne89 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD71 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD71 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.