INSA poll of 12 July 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%-1.0
- CDU20.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- AfD8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others12.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2022.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Jun 2022, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.3 points lower and SPD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.3average 25.3
- SPD +1.5average 18.5
- Linke +0.7average 11.3
- AfD +0.7average 7.3
- CDU -0.5average 20.5
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne31
- SPD30
- CDU29
- Linke18
- AfD12
- FDP10
- Grüne + SPD + CDU90 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke79 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke78 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD71 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP69 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.