INSA poll of 16 November 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU21.0%+1.0
- SPD20.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others10.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Jul 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 18.0
- FDP +1.5average 5.5
- Linke -1.3average 13.3
- CDU +1.0average 20.0
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- Grüne -0.8average 20.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU30
- SPD29
- Grüne29
- Linke17
- AfD15
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD + Grüne88 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke75 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD74 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP69 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.