INSA poll of 21 December 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 19 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- CDU21.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Nov 2022.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 21.0%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 16 Nov 2022, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 19.0
- Grüne -1.2average 21.2
- CDU -1.0average 22.0
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- AfD +0.3average 9.7
- Linke -0.2average 12.2
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD30
- CDU30
- Grüne29
- Linke17
- AfD15
- FDP9
- SPD + CDU + Grüne89 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke76 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP69 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.