INSA poll of 9 February 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 9 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU25.0%+4.0
- SPD19.0%-2.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- Linke12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Dec 2022.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Dec 2022, CDU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +0.8average 24.2
- SPD -0.6average 19.6
- Linke +0.3average 11.7
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
- Grüne ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU36
- SPD28
- Grüne26
- Linke17
- AfD14
- FDP9
- CDU + SPD + Grüne90 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP73 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.