INSA poll of 5 April 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU30.0%+5.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Feb 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 27 Mar 2023 to 3 Apr 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Feb 2023, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 5.0 points higher and SPD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU +5.0average 25.0
- SPD -1.7average 19.7
- Linke -0.8average 11.8
- FDP -0.8average 5.8
- AfD -0.6average 9.6
- Grüne +0.3average 17.7
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU43
- SPD26
- Grüne25
- Linke16
- AfD13
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD69 of 130
- CDU + Grüne68 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke67 of 130
- CDU + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.