INSA poll of 27 September 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD / B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 26 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU26.0%-4.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+5.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2023.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 18 to 26 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by BILD / B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2023, AfD gains 5.0 points, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 3.5 points lower and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -3.5average 13.5
- AfD -2.0average 16.0
- CDU +1.5average 24.5
- Grüne +1.5average 16.5
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU38
- Grüne26
- SPD25
- AfD20
- Linke14
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne + SPD89 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD84 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke78 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke77 of 130
- CDU + AfD + Linke72 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.