INSA poll of 25 August 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD / B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- SPD22.0%+4.0
- Grüne18.0%-4.0
- CDU16.0%-2.0
- Linke15.0%+2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2021.
In this poll INSA has SPD ahead on 22.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD / B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Jun 2021, SPD gains 4.0 points, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -1.7average 17.7
- AfD +1.6average 10.4
- Linke +1.1average 13.9
- FDP +1.1average 7.9
- Grüne -0.5average 18.5
- SPD -0.1average 22.1
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD31
- Grüne25
- CDU23
- Linke21
- AfD17
- FDP13
- SPD + Grüne + CDU79 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD73 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP69 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke69 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.