INSA poll of 24 June 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne22.0%-3.0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- CDU18.0%+2.0
- Linke13.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler2.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 May 2021.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 May 2021, Grüne loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- Linke +0.5average 12.5
- Grüne +0.2average 21.8
- CDU +0.2average 17.8
- SPD ±0average 18.0
- FDP ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne31
- SPD25
- CDU25
- Linke18
- AfD17
- FDP14
- Grüne + SPD + CDU81 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD73 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP70 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke68 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD67 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.