INSA poll of 18 May 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- Grüne25.0%±0
- SPD20.0%+1.0
- CDU16.0%±0
- Linke13.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others2.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2021.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Apr 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has SPD 2.0 points higher and AfD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 18.0
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- Grüne +0.7average 24.3
- Linke -0.5average 13.5
- CDU -0.3average 16.3
- FDP ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne34
- SPD27
- CDU22
- Linke18
- AfD17
- FDP12
- Grüne + SPD + CDU83 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke79 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD78 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP73 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD73 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP68 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke67 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.