INSA poll of 23 April 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 20 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,024
- Method
- Online
- Grüne25.0%+7.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- CDU16.0%-6.0
- Linke14.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP10.0%+3.0
- Others4.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2020.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,024 people were surveyed from 12 to 20 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2020, Grüne gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 6.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 3.5 points higher and CDU 3.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.5average 21.5
- CDU -3.0average 19.0
- FDP +2.7average 7.3
- AfD +2.5average 9.5
- Linke -1.0average 15.0
- SPD -0.5average 19.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne34
- SPD26
- CDU22
- Linke19
- AfD16
- FDP13
- Grüne + SPD + CDU82 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke79 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP73 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP69 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke67 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.