INSA poll of 18 December 2020 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 1,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- Linke16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,002 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Dec 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Oct 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 8.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -8.0average 26.0
- SPD +3.0average 15.0
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- Linke +1.0average 15.0
- FDP +1.0average 6.0
- CDU ±0average 22.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU31
- SPD25
- Grüne25
- Linke22
- AfD17
- FDP10
- CDU + SPD + Grüne81 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke78 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD73 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke72 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD70 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP66 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.