INSA poll of 12 October 2020 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2020 to 5 Oct 2020
- Respondents
- 1,007
- Method
- Online
- CDU21.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%+2.0
- Linke16.0%-2.0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jul 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2020 to 5 Oct 2020, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Jul 2020, SPD gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 6.0 points lower and SPD 3.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Oct 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -6.0average 26.0
- SPD +3.0average 15.0
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- CDU -1.0average 22.0
- Linke +1.0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU29
- Grüne28
- SPD25
- Linke22
- AfD17
- FDP9
- CDU + Grüne + SPD82 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke75 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD71 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD70 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD68 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.