INSA poll of 15 July 2020 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD / B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,012
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU21.0%+3.0
- Grüne19.0%-4.0
- Linke18.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Others9.0%+4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2020.
In this poll INSA has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,012 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jul 2020, method Unbekannt, commissioned by BILD / B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 Jan 2020, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 4.0 points lower and Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.0average 23.0
- Linke +2.5average 15.5
- CDU +1.5average 19.5
- SPD -1.5average 17.5
- AfD +1.5average 10.5
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU30
- Grüne27
- Linke26
- SPD23
- AfD17
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + SPD80 of 130
- CDU + Linke + SPD79 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD76 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD67 of 130
- Linke + SPD + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.