INSA poll of 2 January 2020 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 18 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 1,006
- Method
- Online
- Grüne23.0%-1.0
- Linke19.0%+1.0
- CDU18.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2019.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 23.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,006 people were surveyed from 10 to 18 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Sep 2019, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has FDP 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.5average 5.5
- Linke +1.0average 18.0
- Grüne +0.5average 22.5
- CDU +0.5average 17.5
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne31
- Linke26
- CDU25
- SPD20
- AfD18
- FDP10
- Grüne + Linke + CDU82 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD77 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD76 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD71 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD69 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP67 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.