INSA poll of 18 September 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,018
- Method
- Online
- Grüne24.0%+5.0
- Linke18.0%-1.0
- CDU17.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-3.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2019.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 24.0%, followed by Linke on 18.0%. 1,018 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Sep 2019, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 9 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 5.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.5average 10.5
- Grüne +0.5average 23.5
- CDU +0.5average 16.5
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke ±0average 18.0
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne33
- Linke25
- CDU24
- SPD21
- AfD19
- FDP8
- Grüne + Linke + CDU82 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD79 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD78 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD77 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD70 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD68 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.