INSA poll of 9 April 2019 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- B.Z.
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 8 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 1,030
- Method
- Online
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- Linke19.0%+3.0
- CDU19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-2.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2018.
In this poll INSA has Grüne ahead on 19.0%, followed by Linke on 19.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 3 to 8 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by B.Z..
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Dec 2018, Linke gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 5.9 points lower and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -5.9average 24.9
- FDP +1.8average 7.2
- CDU +1.4average 17.6
- AfD +1.4average 10.6
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- Linke +0.6average 18.4
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne26
- Linke26
- CDU26
- SPD22
- AfD17
- FDP13
- Grüne + Linke + CDU78 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + SPD74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + SPD74 of 130
- Linke + CDU + SPD74 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD69 of 130
- Linke + CDU + AfD69 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.