Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 September 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 23 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,040
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU15.5%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%+0.5
- Linke14.5%±0
- AfD10.0%-0.5
- FDP7.5%-1.0
- Others12.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU on 15.5%. 1,040 people were surveyed from 22 to 23 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Sep 2021, CDU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 3.0 points lower and SPD 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.0average 18.0
- SPD +2.0average 23.0
- CDU -0.7average 16.2
- Linke +0.5average 14.0
- FDP +0.3average 7.2
- AfD +0.2average 9.8
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD37
- CDU23
- Grüne22
- Linke22
- AfD15
- FDP11
- SPD + CDU + Grüne82 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke82 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke81 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP70 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.