Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 May 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,390
- Method
- Online
- Grüne29.5%+14.5
- CDU21.0%+5.5
- SPD17.0%-8.0
- Linke10.5%-4.0
- AfD6.5%-3.5
- FDP5.5%-2.0
- Others10.0%-2.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 29.5%, followed by CDU on 21.0%. 1,390 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Sep 2021, Grüne gains 14.5 points, SPD loses 8.0 points, CDU gains 5.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 9.0 points higher and SPD 4.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +9.0average 20.5
- SPD -4.0average 21.0
- Linke -3.0average 13.5
- AfD -2.0average 8.5
- FDP -2.0average 7.5
- CDU +1.5average 19.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne43
- CDU30
- SPD25
- Linke15
- AfD9
- FDP8
- Grüne + CDU73 of 130
- Grüne + SPD68 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke70 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD67 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.