Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 August 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 12 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- Grüne26.5%-3.0
- SPD20.5%+3.5
- CDU19.0%-2.0
- Linke10.5%±0
- AfD9.0%+2.5
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Others9.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 May 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 26.5%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 8 to 12 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 May 2022, SPD gains 3.5 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 5.5 points higher and FDP 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +5.5average 21.0
- FDP -2.5average 7.5
- Linke -1.5average 12.0
- CDU -1.0average 20.0
- AfD +1.0average 8.0
- SPD +0.5average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne38
- SPD30
- CDU27
- Linke15
- AfD13
- FDP7
- Grüne + SPD68 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke80 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD78 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD70 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.