Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 October 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 13 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU21.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-7.5
- SPD18.0%-2.5
- Linke14.0%+3.5
- AfD13.0%+4.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others10.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Aug 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 21.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 10 to 13 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 7.5 points, AfD gains 4.0 points, Linke gains 3.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 4.0 points higher and Grüne 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +4.0average 9.0
- Grüne -2.5average 21.5
- Linke +2.0average 12.0
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
- CDU +0.5average 20.5
- SPD -0.5average 18.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU30
- Grüne28
- SPD26
- Linke20
- AfD19
- FDP7
- CDU + Grüne + SPD84 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke78 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD77 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke76 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD73 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD69 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.