Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 October 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,311
- Method
- Online
- Grüne19.5%+0.5
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- CDU19.0%-2.0
- Linke14.5%+0.5
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Others11.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 19.5%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,311 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Oct 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 Oct 2022, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.0 points higher and Linke 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.0average 9.0
- Linke +2.5average 12.0
- Grüne -2.0average 21.5
- CDU -1.5average 20.5
- FDP -1.5average 6.5
- SPD +0.5average 18.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD28
- Grüne28
- CDU28
- Linke21
- AfD18
- FDP7
- SPD + Grüne + CDU84 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD67 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD67 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.