Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 November 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 17 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Online
- SPD18.5%-0.5
- Grüne18.5%-1.0
- CDU18.5%-0.5
- Linke14.5%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP6.5%+1.5
- Tierschutzpartei3.5%
- Others8.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Oct 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 18.5%, followed by Grüne on 18.5%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 16 to 17 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 Oct 2022, FDP gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 2.5 points lower and CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.5average 21.0
- CDU -2.5average 21.0
- Linke +2.5average 12.0
- AfD +2.0average 10.0
- SPD ±0average 18.5
- FDP ±0average 6.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD27
- Grüne27
- CDU27
- Linke21
- AfD18
- FDP10
- SPD + Grüne + CDU81 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke75 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke75 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.