Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 December 2022 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 1,456
- Method
- Online
- Grüne20.5%+2.0
- SPD20.0%+1.5
- CDU20.0%+1.5
- Linke12.5%-2.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.5
- Tierschutzpartei4.0%+0.5
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Nov 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne ahead on 20.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,456 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 17 Nov 2022, Grüne gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 2.3 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU -2.3average 22.3
- AfD +1.7average 9.3
- SPD +1.0average 19.0
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
- Grüne -0.5average 21.0
- Linke +0.5average 12.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- Grüne30
- SPD29
- CDU29
- Linke18
- AfD16
- FDP8
- Grüne + SPD + CDU88 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + Linke77 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + Linke77 of 130
- SPD + CDU + Linke76 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + AfD75 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- Grüne + SPD + FDP67 of 130
- Grüne + CDU + FDP67 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.