Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 January 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,100
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.5%+2.5
- Grüne20.0%-0.5
- SPD19.5%-0.5
- Linke12.5%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Tierschutzpartei3.0%-1.0
- Others7.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Dec 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 22.5%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,100 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 Dec 2022, CDU gains 2.5 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, Tierschutzpartei loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 9.3
- FDP -1.3average 5.3
- Grüne -1.0average 21.0
- Linke +0.5average 12.0
- CDU +0.2average 22.3
- SPD +0.2average 19.3
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU34
- SPD30
- Grüne30
- Linke19
- AfD17
- CDU + SPD + Grüne94 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD81 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD81 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD77 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD70 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 130
- Grüne + Linke + AfD66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.