Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 February 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2023 to 2 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,034
- Method
- Online
- CDU22.0%-0.5
- SPD19.0%-0.5
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- Linke12.5%±0
- AfD11.5%+0.5
- FDP5.5%+1.5
- Tierschutzpartei4.0%+1.0
- Others6.5%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Jan 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,034 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2023 to 2 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Jan 2023, FDP gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Tierschutzpartei gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 10.3
- CDU -1.0average 23.0
- FDP -0.8average 6.3
- SPD -0.7average 19.7
- Linke +0.5average 12.0
- Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU32
- SPD28
- Grüne27
- Linke18
- AfD17
- FDP8
- CDU + SPD + Grüne87 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke78 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD77 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke77 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke73 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD72 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP68 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP67 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD67 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.