Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 11 February 2023 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 10 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU25.0%+3.0
- SPD19.5%+0.5
- Grüne18.5%-0.5
- Linke13.0%+0.5
- AfD9.0%-2.5
- FDP5.0%-0.5
- Others10.0%+3.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 Feb 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 8 to 10 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 2 Feb 2023, CDU gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 2.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 11.8
- AfD -1.2average 10.2
- FDP -1.0average 6.0
- SPD +0.5average 19.0
- CDU +0.4average 24.6
- Grüne +0.3average 18.2
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- CDU36
- SPD28
- Grüne27
- Linke19
- AfD13
- FDP7
- CDU + SPD + Grüne91 of 130
- CDU + SPD + Linke83 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + Linke82 of 130
- CDU + SPD + AfD77 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + AfD76 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + Linke74 of 130
- CDU + SPD + FDP71 of 130
- CDU + Grüne + FDP70 of 130
- CDU + Linke + AfD68 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD68 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.