Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 14 September 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 14 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,553
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD25.0%+0.5
- Grüne14.5%-1.0
- Linke14.5%-0.5
- CDU14.5%-0.5
- AfD10.5%-0.5
- FDP8.5%-1.0
- Others12.5%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Aug 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.5%. 1,553 people were surveyed from 9 to 14 Sep 2021, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Aug 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 3.3 points lower and CDU 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -3.3average 17.8
- CDU -2.5average 17.0
- SPD +2.2average 22.8
- FDP +0.7average 7.8
- Linke +0.2average 14.3
- AfD ±0average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD37
- Grüne22
- Linke21
- CDU21
- AfD16
- FDP13
- SPD + Grüne + Linke80 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + CDU80 of 130
- SPD + Linke + CDU79 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD75 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD74 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP72 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + AfD + FDP66 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.