Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 August 2021 for the Berlin state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 24 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,050
- Method
- Online
- SPD24.5%+0.5
- Grüne15.5%±0
- Linke15.0%±0
- CDU15.0%-3.0
- AfD11.0%+2.0
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Others9.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 Jul 2021.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 24.5%, followed by Grüne on 15.5%. 1,050 people were surveyed from 23 to 24 Aug 2021, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 31 Jul 2021, CDU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Grüne 4.9 points lower and SPD 4.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -4.9average 20.4
- SPD +4.4average 20.1
- CDU -2.7average 17.7
- FDP +1.3average 8.2
- Linke +1.1average 13.9
- AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
130 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD35
- Grüne22
- Linke22
- CDU21
- AfD16
- FDP14
- SPD + Grüne + Linke79 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + CDU78 of 130
- SPD + Linke + CDU78 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + AfD73 of 130
- SPD + Linke + AfD73 of 130
- SPD + CDU + AfD72 of 130
- SPD + Grüne + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + Linke + FDP71 of 130
- SPD + CDU + FDP70 of 130
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.