Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 August 2023 for the Saarland state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 783
- Method
- Online
- SPD35.0%-7.5
- AfD23.0%+11.0
- CDU23.0%-4.5
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- Grüne4.5%-0.5
- Linke1.0%-0.5
- Others8.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Jan 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 35.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 783 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Jan 2023, AfD gains 11.0 points, SPD loses 7.5 points, CDU loses 4.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 13.0 points higher and CDU 5.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +13.0average 10.0
- CDU -5.0average 28.0
- Grüne -3.5average 8.0
- SPD -3.0average 38.0
- Linke -2.0average 3.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD21
- AfD14
- CDU13
- FDP3
- SPD + AfD35 of 51
- SPD + CDU34 of 51
- AfD + CDU27 of 51
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.