Single poll
Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 4 May 2024 for the Saarland state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Apr 2024 to 2 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,080
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- SPD36.0%+1.0
- CDU28.0%+5.0
- BSW9.0%
- AfD8.5%-14.5
- Grüne5.0%+0.5
- FDP3.5%-1.5
- Linke2.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-0.5
36.0%
+1.0
SPD
28.0%
+5.0
CDU
9.0%
BSW
8.5%
-14.5
AfD
5.0%
+0.5
Grüne
3.5%
-1.5
FDP
2.0%
+1.0
Linke
8.0%
-0.5
Others
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Aug 2023.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 36.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 1,080 people were surveyed from 19 Apr 2024 to 2 May 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 Aug 2023, AfD loses 14.5 points, CDU gains 5.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points.
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD21
- CDU17
- AfD5
- BSW5
- Grüne3
- SPD + CDU38 of 51
- SPD + AfD26 of 51
- SPD + BSW26 of 51
- CDU + AfD + BSW27 of 51
More
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.