Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 January 2023 for the Saarland state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 19 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 853
- Method
- Online
- SPD42.5%+0.5
- CDU27.5%+1.0
- AfD12.0%-2.0
- Grüne5.0%+0.5
- FDP4.5%±0
- Linke1.5%-0.5
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Nov 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 42.5%, followed by CDU on 27.5%. 853 people were surveyed from 11 to 19 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 Nov 2022, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 5.8 points higher and SPD 3.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +5.8average 6.2
- SPD +3.5average 39.0
- CDU -2.5average 30.0
- Linke -2.5average 4.0
- FDP -0.5average 5.0
- Grüne -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD25
- CDU16
- AfD7
- Grüne3
- SPD + CDU41 of 51
- SPD + AfD32 of 51
- SPD + Grüne28 of 51
- CDU + AfD + Grüne26 of 51
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.