Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 6 November 2022 for the Saarland state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 5 Nov 2022
- Respondents
- 879
- Method
- Online
- SPD42.0%+1.0
- CDU26.5%-1.5
- AfD14.0%+7.5
- FDP4.5%-1.0
- Grüne4.5%-0.5
- Linke2.0%-2.0
- Others6.5%-3.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 42.0%, followed by CDU on 26.5%. 879 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Nov 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 Mar 2022, AfD gains 7.5 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 7.8 points higher and CDU 3.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +7.8average 6.2
- CDU -3.5average 30.0
- SPD +3.0average 39.0
- Linke -2.0average 4.0
- Grüne -0.7average 5.2
- FDP -0.5average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD26
- CDU17
- AfD8
- SPD + CDU43 of 51
- SPD + AfD34 of 51
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.