Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 25 March 2022 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
21 to 25 Mar 2022
Respondents
940
Method
Online
  • SPD41.0%+3.0
  • CDU28.0%-2.0
  • AfD6.5%+0.5
  • FDP5.5%±0
  • Grüne5.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%+0.5
  • Others10.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Mar 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 41.0%, followed by CDU on 28.0%. 940 people were surveyed from 21 to 25 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 Mar 2022, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 2.0 points higher and CDU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.0average 39.0
  • CDU -2.0average 30.0
  • FDP +0.5average 5.0
  • AfD +0.3average 6.2
  • Grüne -0.2average 5.2
  • Linke ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 25 seatsCDU: 17 seatsFDP: 3 seatsGrüne: 3 seatsAfD: 3 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • SPD25
  • CDU17
  • FDP3
  • Grüne3
  • AfD3
  • SPD + CDU42 of 51
  • SPD + FDP28 of 51
  • SPD + Grüne28 of 51
  • SPD + AfD28 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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