Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 18 March 2022 for the Saarland state election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 18 Mar 2022
- Respondents
- 978
- Method
- Online
- SPD38.0%+2.5
- CDU30.0%±0
- AfD6.0%-2.5
- FDP5.5%-1.0
- Grüne5.0%-2.0
- Linke3.5%-2.0
- Others12.0%+6.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Mar 2022.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 38.0%, followed by CDU on 30.0%. 978 people were surveyed from 15 to 18 Mar 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 9 Mar 2022, SPD gains 2.5 points, AfD loses 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has Linke 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.5average 5.0
- Grüne -1.3average 6.3
- SPD +1.0average 37.0
- CDU -0.3average 30.3
- AfD -0.3average 6.3
- FDP +0.2average 5.3
Seat projection from this poll
51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.
- SPD24
- CDU18
- FDP3
- Grüne3
- AfD3
- SPD + CDU42 of 51
- SPD + FDP27 of 51
- SPD + Grüne27 of 51
- SPD + AfD27 of 51
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.