Trend Research Hamburg poll of 10 February 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 29 Jan 2020
- Respondents
- 675
- Method
- Online
- SPD33.0%+1.0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- CDU14.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-3.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 9 Jan 2020.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has SPD ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 675 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Jan 2020, method Online, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 9 Jan 2020, Linke loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has SPD 3.4 points higher and Grüne 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.4average 29.6
- Grüne -2.0average 26.0
- CDU -1.7average 15.7
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- AfD -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD42
- Grüne30
- CDU18
- Linke13
- FDP9
- AfD9
- SPD + Grüne72 of 121
- SPD + CDU + Linke73 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP69 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD69 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP64 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD64 of 121
- Grüne + CDU + Linke61 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.