Trend Research Hamburg poll of 9 January 2020 for the Hamburg state election
- Commissioned by
- Radio Hamburg
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 31 Dec 2019
- Respondents
- 678
- Method
- Online
- SPD32.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- Linke13.0%+1.0
- CDU13.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 18 Nov 2019.
In this poll Trend Research Hamburg has SPD ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 678 people were surveyed from 27 to 31 Dec 2019, method Online, commissioned by Radio Hamburg.
Compared with the previous Trend Research Hamburg poll of 18 Nov 2019, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Trend Research Hamburg has SPD 3.6 points higher and Grüne 3.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jan 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.6average 28.4
- Grüne -3.3average 26.3
- CDU -2.4average 15.4
- Linke +1.8average 11.2
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- AfD +0.6average 7.4
Seat projection from this poll
121 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning a constituency.
- SPD40
- Grüne29
- Linke16
- CDU16
- FDP10
- AfD10
- SPD + Grüne69 of 121
- SPD + Linke + CDU72 of 121
- SPD + Linke + FDP66 of 121
- SPD + Linke + AfD66 of 121
- SPD + CDU + FDP66 of 121
- SPD + CDU + AfD66 of 121
- Grüne + Linke + CDU61 of 121
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.