Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 29 February 2024 for the European election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 29 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,900
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU31.5%+3.5
- Grüne16.0%+3.0
- AfD16.0%-7.0
- SPD12.0%+3.0
- BSW7.5%+0.5
- Freie Wähler3.5%-1.5
- FDP3.0%-1.5
- Tierschutzpartei2.5%+1.0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Die PARTEI1.5%±0
- Others4.5%±0
Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Jan 2024.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,900 people were surveyed from 24 to 29 Feb 2024, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 21 Jan 2024, AfD loses 7.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 3.5 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 6.0 points lower and Grüne 5.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -6.0average 22.0
- Grüne +5.5average 10.5
- CDU/CSU +4.5average 27.0
- SPD -4.0average 16.0
- Linke -2.5average 4.5
- BSW +2.0average 5.5
- Tierschutzpartei -0.5average 3.0
- Die PARTEI +0.5average 1.0
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.5
- FDP ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
96 seats by Sainte-Laguë, no electoral threshold at the 2024 European election.
- CDU/CSU32
- Grüne16
- AfD16
- SPD12
- BSW7
- Freie Wähler4
- FDP3
- Linke2
- Die PARTEI2
- Tierschutzpartei2
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.