Single poll
GMS poll of 7 May 2024 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 15.0%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 6 Feb 2024, AfD loses 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 3.0 points lower and Freie Wähler 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -3.0average 14.0
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 13.5
- Linke +1.0average 1.0
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- FDP -0.5average 2.5
- CSU ±0average 41.0
- SPD ±0average 7.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU85
- Freie Wähler31
- Grüne27
- AfD23
- SPD14
- CSU + Freie Wähler116 of 180
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + AfD108 of 180
- CSU + SPD99 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 6 Feb 2024GMS, 17 Sep 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.