Single poll
GMS poll of 19 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- SAT.1 Bayern
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 18 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll GMS has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Freie Wähler on 17.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by SAT.1 Bayern.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 6 Sep 2023, CSU loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has Freie Wähler 2.1 points higher and CSU 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +2.1average 14.9
- CSU -1.5average 37.5
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- Grüne -0.6average 14.6
- Linke -0.5average 1.5
- SPD +0.2average 8.8
- AfD ±0average 14.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- Freie Wähler34
- Grüne28
- AfD28
- SPD18
- CSU + Freie Wähler106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
More
More polls
← GMS, 6 Sep 2023GMS, 3 Jan 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.